What’s the All-in Equity Value Here?
I’ve spent the couple of days comparing Poker Copilot equity value calculations with Hold’em Manager (HEM). When I find discrepancies, I tweaked my code to fix the problem.
Below is an unusual case, where the HEM result leaves me baffled. I was the big blind, but didn’t have enough chips to fully pay it. Therefore I was forced to go all-in when posting the blind. I was holding pocket aces.
HEM says my equity was 3.4%. It says my expected value was -85 chips. I’m puzzled as to how this was calculated. Any ideas, blog readers?
Full Tilt Poker Game #17296899286: .COM 250 Play Chip Sit & Go (129805519), Table 4 - 200/400 - No Limit Hold'em - 7:22:32 ET - 2010/01/03
Seat 2: Tarheel Hugo (8,165)
Seat 3: tampaxs (11,920), is sitting out
Seat 4: Beschiii (22,415)
Seat 5: ALLA53 (11,040), is sitting out
Seat 6: Hondaddicted (17,385)
Seat 7: stevoski111 (95), is sitting out
Seat 9: mfgiovani (16,200)
Hondaddicted posts the small blind of 200
stevoski111 posts the big blind of 95, and is all in
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to stevoski111 [As Ad]
mfgiovani folds
Tarheel Hugo folds
tampaxs folds
Beschiii calls 400
ALLA53 folds
Hondaddicted calls 200
*** FLOP *** [8h Ts 9c]
Hondaddicted checks
Beschiii bets 400
Hondaddicted calls 400
*** TURN *** [8h Ts 9c] [7c]
Hondaddicted has 15 seconds left to act
Hondaddicted bets 1,695
Beschiii has 15 seconds left to act
Beschiii folds
Hondaddicted shows [Jd Kh]
stevoski111 shows [As Ad]
Uncalled bet of 1,695 returned to Hondaddicted
*** RIVER *** [8h Ts 9c 7c] [6c]
Hondaddicted wins the side pot (1,410)
Hondaddicted shows a straight, Jack high
stevoski111 shows a straight, Ten high
Hondaddicted wins the main pot (285) with a straight, Jack high
stevoski111 stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 1,695 Main pot 285. Side pot 1,410. | Rake 0
Board: [8h Ts 9c 7c 6c]
Seat 2: Tarheel Hugo didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: tampaxs didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: Beschiii folded on the Turn
Seat 5: ALLA53 (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: Hondaddicted (small blind) showed [Jd Kh] and won (1,695) with a straight, Jack high
Seat 7: stevoski111 (big blind) showed [As Ad] and lost with a straight, Ten high
Seat 9: mfgiovani didn't bet (folded)